Market Prediction ML Model: Strategy & Implementation Guide

This Machine Learning model is fed with the latest market data every hour.

The model processes market data each hour (7 PM - 4:00 PM Next Day EST),  (EST -5 New York time) and generates a probabilistic prediction of the next hour's close.

Overnight data is included. 

Strategy & Implementation Guide

Installation

Note: You need to un-zip the files first

There are four key components you need to install:

  • 1 Data Feed Application app.exe
  • 2 Strategy - For NinjaTrader (Zip File of Strategy & Indicator) NINJATRADER_ML_Strategy_Indicator_VX_X_X.zip
  • 3 Indicator - For NinjaTrader (Zip File of Strategy & Indicator)
  • NINJATRADER_ML_Strategy_Indicator_VX_X_X.zip
  • 4 Strategy Templates (1 Folder with XML files) Strategy_Templates

1 Data Feed Application

Installer: app.exe

Core Function: This application acts as a bridge between a sophisticated Machine Learning model and your NinjaTrader trading platform. It downloads and delivers market predictions every hour.

Key Features

  • Automated market prediction data downloads
  • Essential for the proprietary trading strategy and indicator
  • License key management
  • Manual download option available
  • File path copy function for strategy integration
  • Informative logging and troubleshooting
  • Version display (Current version: V1.3.1)

Note: You might need to add app to your whitelist trusted software on Windows Defender

Or click more info / run anyway after clicking the app icon 

2. Strategy 

  • Uses intraday market data to predict the next hour's close.
  • Trade entries are based on the model's probability assessment.
  • Integrates with NinjaTrader to automate trading decisions.

VERY IMPORTANT: Set your NinjaTrader time zone to UTC.


Parameters


Data Feed File Path:

Copy this path from the Data Feed APP

 C:\Users\USER\Documents\LM_DataDownloaderDate

  • This file path is where the system retrieves market prediction data.
  • The trading strategy depends on this external ML-generated data.

Use the provided Srategy tamplates for optimal performance.

3. Indicator Configuration

  • Add the "MLStrategyV2" indicator to your chart.
  • Copy and paste the data feed file path into the indicator settings.
  • To view the latest predictions for the hourly close, refresh your chart's time frame by temporarily switching it to 1, 2, or 3 minutes, then returning to your preferred time frame. This will update your chart with the most recent predictions.

IMPORTANT: Set your NinjaTrader time zone to UTC.

4 Strategy Templates 

Our NinjaTrader Strategy Templates allow traders to save and reuse specific parameter settings for their automated strategies. These templates help streamline backtesting, optimization, and live execution by quickly applying predefined configurations without manually adjusting each setting.

Roles of Strategy Templates

  • Consistency: Ensures strategies use the same parameters across different sessions.
  • Efficiency: Saves time by reducing the need to manually configure strategies.
  • Reusability: Allows traders to share and apply optimized settings across multiple instances.
  • Backup & Transferability: Enables users to transfer settings between different NinjaTrader installations.

Importing Strategy Templates

To import a strategy template into another NinjaTrader installation:

  1. Copy the .xml files into:


    Documents\NinjaTrader 8\templates\Strategy\MLStrategyV131
  2. Open NinjaTrader and go to the Strategies tab.
  3. Click "Templates" > "Load" and select the imported template.
  4. Click "Load" to apply the settings.
  5. After importing a Strategy Template (by placing the .xml file in the templates\Strategy\MLStrategyV131 folder), it is recommended to restart NinjaTrader to ensure the template is properly loaded.

The template settings will now be available for use within NinjaTrader.

When you create or edit a Strategy, you should aply one of our provided templates. 

Provided Templates

1. Cash Strategy Template

  • Optimization: Designed for the cash session, capturing market movements during regular trading hours.
  • Session Time: 15:00 - 20:00 UTC
  • Timeframe: 3-minute chart
  • ATR Settings: 1.6 / 1.4

Usage:

This template is ideal for traders looking to capitalize on liquidity and volatility during the main cash session, when institutional trading activity is at its peak.

2. Pre-Open Strategy Template

  • Optimization: Tailored for the pre-market session, capturing early movements and positioning before the main session opens.
  • Session Time: 11:00 - 15:00 UTC
  • Timeframe: 3-minute chart
  • ATR Settings: 2 / 1.5

Usage:

Traders can use this strategy to take advantage of price discovery, momentum, and news-driven movements before the cash market opens.

3. Overnight Strategy Template

  • Optimization: Designed for overnight trading, when lower liquidity and different market participants create unique price action.
  • Session Time: 02:00 - 11:00 UTC
  • Timeframe: 4-minute chart
  • ATR Settings: 2.4 / 1.9

Usage:

This strategy is suited for traders focusing on overnight trends, ranging behavior, and international market influences that affect futures and forex markets.

Final Notes

These strategy templates are designed to align with specific market sessions, ensuring optimal performance based on session liquidity, volatility, and trading conditions. Traders should test and adjust settings as needed to match their risk tolerance and market conditions.

License and Downloads

We use Whop as our platform for managing licenses and software distribution. Here’s how you can get started:

  1. Head to Whop

  2. Access Your License & Downloads

    • Once your purchase is confirmed, you’ll receive instant access to your license key and the software download link.
    • You can find your license key and access the software from your Whop dashboard.

  3. Downloading the Software

    • Log in to Whop and navigate to your purchased products.
    • Download the installation files from the provided link.

  4. Activating Your License

    • Open the Data Feed APP and enter your license key and click Save.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

In what instruments can I use the AI-Ml Strategy?

The Strategy AutoTarder is designed for ES and MES. 

Can I use the indicator in my own strategy?

No, the indicator is designed to work exclusively with our strategy.

Can I use the strategy and indicator after hours?

Yes. We provide Data from 7PM EST to 4 PM EST next day.

What probability of winning trades can I expect?

From real analysis and backtesting, a 60% win rate with a profit ratio of 1.9 is realistic.

Why aren’t there 80% winning trades?

While the model predicts with 80% accuracy, prices do not move in a straight line, so stops and targets are necessary.

How many days of probabilities are loaded in the indicator’s charts?

The indicator loads the last 7 days of data.

Can I use this strategy to trade other contract instruments?

Our strategy is specifically designed and optimized for E-mini S&P 500 (ES) futures. While you can attempt to use it on other futures contracts or instruments, we do not guarantee the same level of performance since the model’s predictions, stop-loss levels, and profit targets are tailored to ES market conditions.

  • If you decide to use it on another instrument, we recommend adjusting the ATR settings, stop losses, and probability thresholds to better align with that market's volatility.
  • Support is only provided for ES / MES contracts.

Can I use a different time frame than 3-4 minutes?

The strategy is optimized for 3 & 4-minute candlesticks, as this timeframes provides the best balance between signal accuracy and trade execution.

  • You can experiment with other timeframes (e.g., 1-minute or 5-minute), but the predictions, stop-loss values, and trade execution timing may not perform as intended.
  • If you use a different timeframe, ensure you adjust the stop loss and profit target settings accordingly.
  • For best results and tested performance, we recommend sticking to 3-minute intervals as used in our backtesting.

Troubleshooting Guide

1) CSV File Not Updating

  • If you open the CSV file with Excel, Notepad, or any text editor, the file becomes read-only and the next batch of data won't be added.
  • Solution: Close the file before the next batch is processed to allow the system to write new data.

2) Predictions Not Showing on the Chart

  • If predictions are missing from the chart, try refreshing the timeframe.
  • Important: Predictions are for visual reference only. The strategy does not rely on them to execute trades.
  • To see the latest predictions after the hour closes, refresh the timeframe.

3) Strategy Automatically Disabling

  • If your strategy turns off by itself, it could be due to hitting a max stop limit or another restriction.
  • Solution: Check the NinjaTrader logs for details on why it was disabled.

4) Trade Differences & Data Sync

  • Your trades might slightly differ from what’s posted due to data differences across applications.
  • The app downloads data every 1 minute after being opened, so no one will have identical trades.
  • The strategy executes trades as soon as data is received on your computer.

5) Trades Not Showing on Chart

  • Ensure you copy the file path from the app into the strategy settings.
  • Check your Executions tab in NinjaTrader.
  • Verify that Chart Trader is set to the correct account so trades display properly.

6) Running Multiple Strategies on Multiple Accounts

  • No need to create multiple charts for each strategy.
  • A single chart is enough for monitoring all strategies.

7) NinjaTrader Running Behind or Delayed Data

  • If your VPS is running 5-15 minutes behind, check your data feed subscription.
  • Are you paying the $12/month fee for real-time NinjaTrader data?
  • Prop firms provide a “real-time” data connection, but accounts may not be fully activated immediately, leading to delays.
  • Some firms seem to delay full activation, possibly causing accounts to struggle early on.

Support

You can contact us for support on our Discord channel: https://whop.com/c/andywallsq/sp

We use anydesk for remote assistance.